hindsight bias
常見例句
- Finally, the hindsight bias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an event once that outcome is actually known.
最后,事后諸葛亮是指決策者相信他們一定掌握了某事的基本情況,他們就能精確的預(yù)算出這件事的結(jié)果的趨向。
blog.sina.com.cn - They tend to produce complicated models that accurately correspond to past events, but may not do so well in predicting the future -- social scientists call the phenomenon "hindsight bias."
他們制造了復(fù)雜的模板精確地與過去的事件吻合,但是也許對(duì)于預(yù)測(cè)未來并不是很管用——社會(huì)學(xué)家管這種現(xiàn)象叫做“事后聰明偏差”。 - The hindsight bias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an vent once that outcome is actually know.
事后諸葛亮,決策者的錯(cuò)誤的信任,他們能精確的推出預(yù)言和事后的結(jié)果的。
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