hindsight bias
基本解釋
- 事后聰明偏向
英漢例句
- Finally, the hindsight bias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an event once that outcome is actually known.
最后,事后諸葛亮是指決策者相信他們一定掌握了某事的基本情況,他們就能精確的預(yù)算出這件事的結(jié)果的趨向。
blog.sina.com.cn - They tend to produce complicated models that accurately correspond to past events, but may not do so well in predicting the future -- social scientists call the phenomenon "hindsight bias."
他們制造了復(fù)雜的模板精確地與過去的事件吻合,但是也許對于預(yù)測未來并不是很管用——社會學家管這種現(xiàn)象叫做“事后聰明偏差”。 - The hindsight bias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an vent once that outcome is actually know.
事后諸葛亮,決策者的錯誤的信任,他們能精確的推出預(yù)言和事后的結(jié)果的。
blog.sina.com.cn
雙語例句
專業(yè)釋義
- 后見之明偏誤
Many studies have demonstrated the ubiquity and stability of hindsight bias so far.
以往的研究在各種不同的范式中證實了后見之明偏誤的普遍性和穩(wěn)固性,但很少有研究者去驗證后見之明偏誤的作用機制。